SI's Jon Heyman has tweeted that the Royals will join the Mariners as bidders for the service of Jarrod Washburn. Washburn has been a pretty steady performer over his 12 years in the Majors. He is 35 years old and coming off of an okay season (with the exception of the 8 games he started for the Tigers). For the right price, Washburn wouldn't be a bad addition at all, but why add him at this point?
I know: Meche's injury potential appears high and the Royals don't have a lefty in the rotation. THE ROYALS DO NOT NEED A LEFTY. Teams have won championships without them, but we don't even need to go down that line of logic because the Royals will not compete this year. Furthermore, the signing of Washburn would send a mixed message to fans and the youth of this team. The young pitchers on this team need to step up, they need to deliver and if they can't...then we need to draft more and more and more pitching. Signing another aging veteran does nothing but continue the pattern this team has followed at the Major League level for too long: signing leftovers and throwing together a Major League team so they can sell some tickets. I don't know about you, but I would rather watch young guys lose than aging veterans. I mean, at least the young guys MIGHT get better.
Tuesday, March 30, 2010
Monday, March 29, 2010
All we are Saying...is Give Youth a Chance
The Royals might lose 100 games this year, they might lose 90...who knows. No matter what, this team doesn't need to worry about a championship run this season. With that thought firmly planted in their minds, top club officials need to consider playing the youth of this ball club instead of aging players. I am willing to be somewhat reasonable with this, Dayton. It doesn't appear that Bryan Pena is ready to spend a season as the team's backstop, Noel Arguelles doesn't need to be rushed into the rotation, and Edgar Osuna isn't quite ready to be a member of the starting five either. However, there are some younger players that deserve a shot at regular duty.
Baseball is too frequently a game of numbers and I am not necessarily referring to statistics. The higher paid players, with guaranteed contracts, are always going to get stronger considerations for regular roles. I understand that, get it, got it...DON'T CARE. Jose Guillen is going to make around $12 million this season whether he is playing as a regular DH for the Royals or feeding the chickens on his farm back home! He has had a decent spring, and he will likely play hard in an attempt to secure a free agent contract this off-season. The problem is that the Royals have some young guys who have earned a shot at Guillen's job, and I would rather see them play.
Mitch Maier, Kila Ka'aihue and Brain Anderson have all had a tremendous Spring Training. It is unlikely that any of them will see regular playing time with the Royals in 2010. The team has logjams in the outfield, first-base and at designated hitter. With the exception of Butler (and therefore first-base), the current projected starters in logjam positions are between 30-34 years old (Dejesus, Ankiel, Guillen, and Podsednik). The ages of Maier, Ka'aihue and Anderson are: 27, 25 and 28 respectively. So, the starters aren't young and Maier, Ka-aihue and Anderson aren't exactly fresh off the farm system bus. However, it is time for the Royals to stop slapping together an aging free-agent leftover team and start playing what they have been investing in (I understand the Anderson isn't a product of the Royals, but he was signed cheap...he has played hard...and he deserves a look).
I am not delusional, I know that these guys aren't going to make the Royals any better this season. BUT! I would simply rather watch these guys play. They are all younger, haven't really "made it" to the Majors yet and they are still hungry. It would be more entertaining to watch the three of them struggle or succeed, than watch another game of: Guillen attempt to hit everything out of the park, Ankiel work on a "comeback", and Pods attempt to prove he is not "washed up".
My opinions are my own and they are likely not shared by Dayton Moore. So, anticipate another season of Hillman falling in love with players that wouldn't have a regular role on other teams. Bloomquist and Hillman likely exchange Valetines with each other...and I don't think anyone can break that bond. In other words, Willie will see way too many at bats this year. Guillen makes a lot of money (on this team) and he will likely have an improved year (if he is healthy), so the Royals are going to see what he can do. Ankiel and Pods are the "defensive upgrades" and so their roles will likely remain. The Royals didn't get to where they are by making the right moves, and the moves they are making at the Major League level haven't changed...so why should we expect anything different?
Baseball is too frequently a game of numbers and I am not necessarily referring to statistics. The higher paid players, with guaranteed contracts, are always going to get stronger considerations for regular roles. I understand that, get it, got it...DON'T CARE. Jose Guillen is going to make around $12 million this season whether he is playing as a regular DH for the Royals or feeding the chickens on his farm back home! He has had a decent spring, and he will likely play hard in an attempt to secure a free agent contract this off-season. The problem is that the Royals have some young guys who have earned a shot at Guillen's job, and I would rather see them play.
Mitch Maier, Kila Ka'aihue and Brain Anderson have all had a tremendous Spring Training. It is unlikely that any of them will see regular playing time with the Royals in 2010. The team has logjams in the outfield, first-base and at designated hitter. With the exception of Butler (and therefore first-base), the current projected starters in logjam positions are between 30-34 years old (Dejesus, Ankiel, Guillen, and Podsednik). The ages of Maier, Ka'aihue and Anderson are: 27, 25 and 28 respectively. So, the starters aren't young and Maier, Ka-aihue and Anderson aren't exactly fresh off the farm system bus. However, it is time for the Royals to stop slapping together an aging free-agent leftover team and start playing what they have been investing in (I understand the Anderson isn't a product of the Royals, but he was signed cheap...he has played hard...and he deserves a look).
I am not delusional, I know that these guys aren't going to make the Royals any better this season. BUT! I would simply rather watch these guys play. They are all younger, haven't really "made it" to the Majors yet and they are still hungry. It would be more entertaining to watch the three of them struggle or succeed, than watch another game of: Guillen attempt to hit everything out of the park, Ankiel work on a "comeback", and Pods attempt to prove he is not "washed up".
My opinions are my own and they are likely not shared by Dayton Moore. So, anticipate another season of Hillman falling in love with players that wouldn't have a regular role on other teams. Bloomquist and Hillman likely exchange Valetines with each other...and I don't think anyone can break that bond. In other words, Willie will see way too many at bats this year. Guillen makes a lot of money (on this team) and he will likely have an improved year (if he is healthy), so the Royals are going to see what he can do. Ankiel and Pods are the "defensive upgrades" and so their roles will likely remain. The Royals didn't get to where they are by making the right moves, and the moves they are making at the Major League level haven't changed...so why should we expect anything different?
Wednesday, March 24, 2010
Edgar Osuna
The Royals have some roster decisions to make with the close of Spring Training fast approaching. Given the success of Rule 5 Draft pick Joakim Soria, the Royals not having many Major League lefty options, and the question marks surrounding the bullpen and the healthiness of Gil Meche... it seems close attention will be paid to Edgar Osuna. Like many Dayton Moore additions,Osuna is from Atlanta. He was Kansas City's most recent Rule 5 pick and has shown SOME promise in his minor league career. His minor league work isn't overwhelming, but there are indications that he could pitch at the Major League level with some success.
Edgar has a few more outings left before the Royals have to make a decision involving one of three choices: 1) Keep him on the Major League roster 2) Work out a trade with the Braves to keep him in the minors in Kansas City or 3) Send him back to the Braves. Given the circumstances and the promise he has shown in the minors, Kansas City will certainly keep him around. The question then becomes...in what capacity?
Frankly, I can't see Osuna as a "lefty specialist" or as a setup man. Furthermore, the Royals have needs that aren't clearly satisfied: a 5th starter AND a left handed starter, at that ,wouldn't hurt. Osuna isn't going to amaze anyone at this point. He will likely struggle, but he won't have to be "thrown to the lions" right away. John Thompson COULD fill in as a starter for a bit, leaving Greinke, Davies, Bannister, and Hochevar (no particular order here) to complete the rotation until the "Meche scare" is better determined. Maybe Osuna could work as a long reliever...the Royals could see if he improves...AND they will have traded nothing away to get a better look at what he can do.
I think the Royals might like what they see. He has only pitched six innings this spring, and it wasn't pretty...giving up 6 hits, 6 earned runs, 1 homerun, and 4 Ks to 2 BBs. Now wait, don't give up on this kid just yet...we need a larger body of work to really see what he can do.
Osuna spent two years in Rookie ball, one year in A ball, and last season was split between A+ and AA. Compiling all those stats is probably slightly misleading, but I am about to do it anyway...largely because it shows he has some upside worth looking into. Skeptics are going to argue that most of his numbers have gotten worse with every Minor League promotion. I will counter three points to consider:
1) Osuna is young, he has likely not reached his peak
2) His ERA has remained respectable at every level
3) See the following:
What a player does in the Minors might not mean a whole lot, but with Osuna...it is the largest piece of work we have to examine. So, let's compare three current Kansas City pitchers and their Minor League stats (conveniently, they all have four seasons in the Minors). Now, I am not attempting to project Osuna to be either one of the other two pitchers, all this exercise does is puts Osuna's performance in perspective and assures us that players can get better or worse.
Player: Greinke Osuna Hochevar
ERA: 2.96 3.37 3.63
WHIP: 1.057 1.218 1.257
H/9: 7.8 9.0 8.6
HR/9: 0.8 0.6 1.1
BB/9: 1.7 2.0 2.7
K/9: 7.5 8.3 8.3
SO/BB: 4.41 4.15 3.03
Osuna almost fits perfectly between the two pitchers. What does this mean? Well...maybe nothing, but the other two pitchers have seen success in the Majors. Keeping Osuna on the club would then seem consistent with history and justifiable. Look for Osuna to make the cut and potentially make a positive contribution this season.
Edgar has a few more outings left before the Royals have to make a decision involving one of three choices: 1) Keep him on the Major League roster 2) Work out a trade with the Braves to keep him in the minors in Kansas City or 3) Send him back to the Braves. Given the circumstances and the promise he has shown in the minors, Kansas City will certainly keep him around. The question then becomes...in what capacity?
Frankly, I can't see Osuna as a "lefty specialist" or as a setup man. Furthermore, the Royals have needs that aren't clearly satisfied: a 5th starter AND a left handed starter, at that ,wouldn't hurt. Osuna isn't going to amaze anyone at this point. He will likely struggle, but he won't have to be "thrown to the lions" right away. John Thompson COULD fill in as a starter for a bit, leaving Greinke, Davies, Bannister, and Hochevar (no particular order here) to complete the rotation until the "Meche scare" is better determined. Maybe Osuna could work as a long reliever...the Royals could see if he improves...AND they will have traded nothing away to get a better look at what he can do.
I think the Royals might like what they see. He has only pitched six innings this spring, and it wasn't pretty...giving up 6 hits, 6 earned runs, 1 homerun, and 4 Ks to 2 BBs. Now wait, don't give up on this kid just yet...we need a larger body of work to really see what he can do.
Osuna spent two years in Rookie ball, one year in A ball, and last season was split between A+ and AA. Compiling all those stats is probably slightly misleading, but I am about to do it anyway...largely because it shows he has some upside worth looking into. Skeptics are going to argue that most of his numbers have gotten worse with every Minor League promotion. I will counter three points to consider:
1) Osuna is young, he has likely not reached his peak
2) His ERA has remained respectable at every level
3) See the following:
What a player does in the Minors might not mean a whole lot, but with Osuna...it is the largest piece of work we have to examine. So, let's compare three current Kansas City pitchers and their Minor League stats (conveniently, they all have four seasons in the Minors). Now, I am not attempting to project Osuna to be either one of the other two pitchers, all this exercise does is puts Osuna's performance in perspective and assures us that players can get better or worse.
Player: Greinke Osuna Hochevar
ERA: 2.96 3.37 3.63
WHIP: 1.057 1.218 1.257
H/9: 7.8 9.0 8.6
HR/9: 0.8 0.6 1.1
BB/9: 1.7 2.0 2.7
K/9: 7.5 8.3 8.3
SO/BB: 4.41 4.15 3.03
Osuna almost fits perfectly between the two pitchers. What does this mean? Well...maybe nothing, but the other two pitchers have seen success in the Majors. Keeping Osuna on the club would then seem consistent with history and justifiable. Look for Osuna to make the cut and potentially make a positive contribution this season.
Sunday, March 21, 2010
Dear Dayton Moore
DAYTON:
Please do not beat yourself up over the Yuniesky Betancourt trade. The fans will mostly forget about it, especially if you remedy the ramifications quickly. You were short on infield help, Betancourt was VERY available and you took the bait. It will all be okay. We all make mistakes, and you...you will continue to make mistakes. Here's the good news, as long as you learn from them, we will not crucify you over them.
The Royals have put together a motto or a slogan over the past few seasons. "Believe" is the one that most readily comes to mind. I was thinking for this upcoming season you might consider "Betancourt to the Bench". I know that it is a little wordy, and doesn't have the same appeal as "Believe", but I think fans will appreciate the meaning and action behind it.
For a moment (and just a moment), let's forget about the offensive and defensive NUMBERS Betancourt has put up over the past few seasons and just remember he hasn't been that hot. Keeping that in mind, let's examine his Spring Training efforts as he is allegedly working on being more consistent. Offensively, without looking at the numbers (since you don't pay attention to all that "new stat stuff"), I will tell you he is better. Defensively....largely the same. In fact, did you watch the game against the Rockies on Sunday Dayton? Betancourt showed some unusual ability as he committed two errors in essentially one play. Pretty amazing. He is finding new ways to lose games for the team. Now, I know you don't like UZR and WAR (check those numbers out for Betancourt if you're bored) and all that "fancy" stuff...so, I will make it simple: Betancourt is horrible, was horrible, and will be horrible again. Cut ties, swallow your pride and help the Royals help themselves...as giving away runs usually doesn't bode well for any team.
Thank you Dayton,
Fred (Just another loyal fan, clinging to straws while the Royals sink)
Please do not beat yourself up over the Yuniesky Betancourt trade. The fans will mostly forget about it, especially if you remedy the ramifications quickly. You were short on infield help, Betancourt was VERY available and you took the bait. It will all be okay. We all make mistakes, and you...you will continue to make mistakes. Here's the good news, as long as you learn from them, we will not crucify you over them.
The Royals have put together a motto or a slogan over the past few seasons. "Believe" is the one that most readily comes to mind. I was thinking for this upcoming season you might consider "Betancourt to the Bench". I know that it is a little wordy, and doesn't have the same appeal as "Believe", but I think fans will appreciate the meaning and action behind it.
For a moment (and just a moment), let's forget about the offensive and defensive NUMBERS Betancourt has put up over the past few seasons and just remember he hasn't been that hot. Keeping that in mind, let's examine his Spring Training efforts as he is allegedly working on being more consistent. Offensively, without looking at the numbers (since you don't pay attention to all that "new stat stuff"), I will tell you he is better. Defensively....largely the same. In fact, did you watch the game against the Rockies on Sunday Dayton? Betancourt showed some unusual ability as he committed two errors in essentially one play. Pretty amazing. He is finding new ways to lose games for the team. Now, I know you don't like UZR and WAR (check those numbers out for Betancourt if you're bored) and all that "fancy" stuff...so, I will make it simple: Betancourt is horrible, was horrible, and will be horrible again. Cut ties, swallow your pride and help the Royals help themselves...as giving away runs usually doesn't bode well for any team.
Thank you Dayton,
Fred (Just another loyal fan, clinging to straws while the Royals sink)
Hoping for Change
The criticisms of Dayton Moore &Co. could go on and on and on, but that isn't quite what I wanted to write about with this post. I wanted to focus on a more specific problem with Dayton Moore and hope...and HOPE that it is not an issue THIS season. In short, the Royals have three younger players in Mike Aviles, Alberto Callaspo and Mitch Maier that are working their tails off to prove they deserve starting spots on this roster. Their respective competition is somewhat abysmal in Yuniesky Betancourt, Alex Gordon, and the rest of the outfield (Anderson, Posednik and Ankiel).
Aviles has not yet returned to 2008 form, but his attitude, work ethic and progress thus far lead me to believe he can return to something resembling pre-injury form. I will be pulling for Mike Aviles, and not for altruistic reasons alone. I mean, I like what I have heard him say in interviews and from that and that alone...he seems like a nice enough guy and I hope he does well. The real reason, however, would be to spare the Royals the regular service of Yuniesky Betancourt (Major League Baseball's worst player). A healthy Aviles versus a healthy Betancourt... fighting for one spot...can only help the Royals.
Callaspo (up to this point, which isn't saying much) has shown that he could be a defensive upgrade over Alex Gordon at third base. As stated in a previous post, it is not realistic to compare their fielding numbers...Callaspo only had 99.0 innings at third last year, Gordon has a lot more. There are some positive for Callaspo and negatives for Gordon that really fuel this argument, regardless. The Royals know that Callaspo can: play decent enough third to be considered for the starting role, hit for average, get on base, and not strike out a lot. The Royals know that Gordon: has been less than good at third, has yet to hit for average for an entire season, struggles to get on base, and strikes out easily. If the Alex Gordon project were made into a movie, the Royals could call it "Waiting for Gordon" and that could sum up the past three seasons. Callaspo has shown what kind of player he is: CONSISTENT. Why wait for Gordon, when Callaspo is ready?
Mitch Maier has indicated that he is following a trend that started in the minor leagues: he struggled in his first year every time he advanced a level in the farm system. His second year in A-ball was better, his second year in AA was better, second year in AAA...BETTER. This would be his second season in the Majors. His first year was below average...his Spring Training looks good...the Royals might be able to anticipate a much improved Maier this season. Maybe Maier amounts to nothing, but he should get a strong look He is out of options and he is cheap (this would be the business motivation). He is also younger and COULD be at least as good as Posednik (the 34-35 year old Posednik), Ankiel (post HGH) and Anderson (merely a big ball of potential up to this point). I don't think Maier is worth starting yet, but cutting him would be a huge mistake.
Here's to HOPE. Hoping the Royals play the players they should this year. Hoping Betancourt and Bloomquist don't see anything close to 400 at bats and hoping that the Royals wake up and utilize the young players they have.
Aviles has not yet returned to 2008 form, but his attitude, work ethic and progress thus far lead me to believe he can return to something resembling pre-injury form. I will be pulling for Mike Aviles, and not for altruistic reasons alone. I mean, I like what I have heard him say in interviews and from that and that alone...he seems like a nice enough guy and I hope he does well. The real reason, however, would be to spare the Royals the regular service of Yuniesky Betancourt (Major League Baseball's worst player). A healthy Aviles versus a healthy Betancourt... fighting for one spot...can only help the Royals.
Callaspo (up to this point, which isn't saying much) has shown that he could be a defensive upgrade over Alex Gordon at third base. As stated in a previous post, it is not realistic to compare their fielding numbers...Callaspo only had 99.0 innings at third last year, Gordon has a lot more. There are some positive for Callaspo and negatives for Gordon that really fuel this argument, regardless. The Royals know that Callaspo can: play decent enough third to be considered for the starting role, hit for average, get on base, and not strike out a lot. The Royals know that Gordon: has been less than good at third, has yet to hit for average for an entire season, struggles to get on base, and strikes out easily. If the Alex Gordon project were made into a movie, the Royals could call it "Waiting for Gordon" and that could sum up the past three seasons. Callaspo has shown what kind of player he is: CONSISTENT. Why wait for Gordon, when Callaspo is ready?
Mitch Maier has indicated that he is following a trend that started in the minor leagues: he struggled in his first year every time he advanced a level in the farm system. His second year in A-ball was better, his second year in AA was better, second year in AAA...BETTER. This would be his second season in the Majors. His first year was below average...his Spring Training looks good...the Royals might be able to anticipate a much improved Maier this season. Maybe Maier amounts to nothing, but he should get a strong look He is out of options and he is cheap (this would be the business motivation). He is also younger and COULD be at least as good as Posednik (the 34-35 year old Posednik), Ankiel (post HGH) and Anderson (merely a big ball of potential up to this point). I don't think Maier is worth starting yet, but cutting him would be a huge mistake.
Here's to HOPE. Hoping the Royals play the players they should this year. Hoping Betancourt and Bloomquist don't see anything close to 400 at bats and hoping that the Royals wake up and utilize the young players they have.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
Posts
